Recent advanced weather models indicate that the UK is bracing for a significant snowfall event, stretching from the northern reaches of Scotland down to the southern coast of England.
The expected Arctic flurries are predicted to commence on November 14, with the GFS weather model projecting widespread snow coverage across Scotland by approximately 6pm. Particularly in the eastern and central regions, snowfall rates could reach up to 5cm per hour.
Subsequently, the snow is forecasted to shift southwards, impacting higher elevations in northern England on November 15. Northern Ireland is also likely to experience heavy snowfall at a rate of 1cm per hour, while lower-lying areas in England and Wales are expected to receive heavy rainfall.
According to the weather maps, light snow is anticipated to persist in the Cairngorms National Park from November 16 to 18. On November 19, the snow showers are predicted to move southward, affecting northern England, Wales, the Midlands, and potentially reaching the south coast, including Southampton.
Any snowfall in England during this period is expected to be light, with rates below 1cm per hour. By November 20, all snowfall is projected to have cleared from the UK.
The Met Office’s outlook for November 11 to 20 suggests a predominantly unsettled and mild start, characterized by bands of rain moving across the country, particularly focusing on western and southern regions. Occasional strong winds may accompany the rain, alongside periods of drier weather, especially in the east and north, leading to potential frost and fog overnight.
Transitioning towards mid-November, a shift to drier conditions across the UK is expected, with slightly cooler temperatures and increased risk of overnight frost. The Met Office also warns of a potential snow risk in the UK from November 21 to December 5, with fluctuations in weather patterns but a likelihood of near-average temperatures.
Additionally, there may be spells of rain, showers, and hill snow, predominantly in the north, amidst the possibility of colder intervals, particularly if extended settled conditions materialize.