Energy bills to drop in January but expected to rise in spring

Energy bills are anticipated to decrease slightly in January, according to projections, but there are concerns that they may rebound in the spring. Cornwall Insight analysts are forecasting a drop in the Ofgem energy price cap from £1,755 annually for the average household paying by direct debit to £1,733, representing a £22 reduction. Ofgem is set to announce the January price cap this Friday. The expected decline is attributed to a modest decrease in wholesale energy prices. However, Cornwall Insight predicts that the price cap could climb by approximately £75 per year in April.

Craig Lowrey, a principal consultant at Cornwall Insight, emphasized that while the January price cap dip may seem positive, it is only a partial view. He noted that bills remain significantly higher than pre-crisis levels and are poised to increase again in April, with factors other than higher wholesale prices driving the rise.

The upcoming April rise is primarily linked to escalating charges related to the maintenance and operation of the nation’s energy networks, particularly electricity transmission and gas distribution charges. Lowrey pointed out that the transition to renewables will bring about long-term stability and energy independence, but it comes at a cost that is reflected in current bills. Balancing short-term affordability with long-term resilience is crucial, along with ensuring that individuals understand the importance of this trade-off.

The price cap does not impose a limit on overall energy expenses but places a cap on unit rates for gas and electricity, including standing charges. Standing charges are fees for grid connection. Ofgem recently urged nearly two million households to check if they could claim back £240 million in unclaimed energy credit from closed energy accounts. Ofgem estimates that individuals might be entitled to more than £100 in refunds, while others may only receive a few pounds. Energy suppliers are mandated to issue final bills within six weeks of an account closure and refund the balance within ten working days.

Over 90% of closed account balances are automatically refunded. Individuals who suspect they are owed money should review final bills received via mail or email and contact their former energy provider accordingly.